Manchester Calling

The Humanitarian and Conflict Response Institute

by Professor Roger Mac Ginty.

The pollsters got it very wrong. So did the experts. But then the experts and pollsters have been getting it wrong for some time. British general election: wrong! Brexit referendum: wrong! Colombian peace accord referendum: wrong! Trump defied the conventional wisdom while the pundits and pollsters were trapped in a conventional wisdom paradigm.

Read the full article at rogermacginty.com